West Ham host Leeds United in an FA Cup quarter-final at the London Stadium this Sunday, with both sides viewing the competition as a welcome distraction from their Premier League survival fight. Check out over £200 in free bet offers available at UK betting sites, as well as our betting tips for the match.
West Ham vs Leeds free bets & betting offers
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West Ham vs Leeds Betting Tips
Read on for our betting expert’s analysis and top tips for the tie.
- Both Teams To Score @ 2/3
- Jarrod Bowen Over 2.5 shots @ 8/11
- West Ham to Win, Both Teams to Score, Jarrod Bowen to Score & Over 3.5 Cards @ 11/1
Goals Expected as Relegation Rivals Clash
Recent meetings between these two sides suggest goals are likely. The last four head-to-head encounters have seen both teams find the net, with those fixtures producing an average of four goals per game. This trend points towards an open contest, even with a semi-final place at stake.
West Ham’s form at the London Stadium supports this selection. The Hammers have scored in six of their seven home matches across all competitions in 2026, and more notably, both teams have scored in six of those same games. They are averaging 1.29 goals per game on home turf since the turn of the year.
Leeds United’s away record tells a similar story. Daniel Farke’s team have seen both teams score in six of their eight competitive matches on the road in 2026. Defensively, they have struggled for consistency, keeping just two clean sheets in their last 18 away fixtures.
When the sides met earlier in the season, Leeds secured a 2-1 victory and were credited with creating three big chances. Given West Ham’s defensive metrics, which show they have the second-highest xGA in the Premier League, Leeds should find opportunities to threaten the goal again.
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Bowen the Primary Threat for the Hammers
Jarrod Bowen stands out as West Ham’s most significant attacking threat and is their top scorer this season with 10 goals in all competitions. He has been particularly effective in the FA Cup, netting two goals in his two appearances in the tournament so far.
His shot volume in the competition is a key factor behind this tip. In the previous rounds against Queens Park Rangers and Brentford, Bowen registered three and five shots respectively, comfortably clearing the 2.5 line on both occasions. He consistently gets into positions to test the keeper.
As a player who typically completes the full 90 minutes, Bowen’s influence on West Ham’s attack is constant. Many of their forward moves are channelled through him on the right flank, where his tendency to cut inside often results in a shot. Against a Leeds side that concedes chances, he is expected to be heavily involved.
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Bowen to fire West Ham to Wembley
For this 11/1 Bet Builder, we’re backing West Ham to leverage their home advantage in this massive FA Cup Quarter-Final. Despite their recent defensive lapses, the Hammers have shown a knack for finding the net at the London Stadium, and with Jarrod Bowen in clinical form, having already netted 8 goals this season and twice in a single match as recently as March, he is the standout candidate to spearhead the attack. However, Leeds are a resilient outfit who rarely go down without a fight, having averaged nearly 1.5 xG per match recently, making “Both Teams to Score” a logical addition to the slip. Given the high stakes of a Wembley semi-final spot and the history of this fixture (with Leeds winning the last meeting 2-1), expect a feisty encounter where the card count easily clears the 3.5 line as the pressure mounts in the second half.
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