Aston Villa host Bologna at Villa Park for their Europa League quarter-final second leg on Thursday, 16th April. Holding a commanding 3-1 aggregate lead, Unai Emery’s side are firm favourites to progress and you can claim talkSPORT BET’s brilliant sign up offer for the match, which sees you able to get up to £40 in football free bets.
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Aston Villa vs Bologna Tips
Check out the analysis behind our expert selections.
Goals Expected as Bologna Chase the Tie
The state of this tie dictates an open encounter at Villa Park. Trailing 3-1 from the first leg, Bologna have no alternative but to commit bodies forward and chase an early goal that could alter the complexion of the quarter-final.
This aggressive tactical approach will likely play into Aston Villa’s hands. Unai Emery’s side is adept at soaking up pressure and exploiting space on the counter-attack, a strategy that saw them create four big chances in the reverse fixture in Italy.
Villa will be confident of finding the net themselves to put the result beyond doubt. Their home record in this season’s Europa League is perfect, having won all five matches at Villa Park while scoring 10 goals in the process.
Bologna’s record also points towards goals. The Italian side has seen both teams score in eight of their 13 Europa League matches this term, a strike rate of 62%. With their backs against the wall, they are expected to contribute to the scoresheet.
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Resilient Rossoblù Can Keep it Close
While the 3-1 first-leg result looks convincing, Bologna’s underlying performance was strong. They registered 19 attempts on goal compared to Villa’s eight and also struck the woodwork twice, suggesting the scoreline was somewhat flattering to the Premier League side.
Vincenzo Italiano’s team has demonstrated significant resilience on their travels this season. They currently rank fourth in Serie A for away results and have embarked on an impressive run of five consecutive victories in Europa League away fixtures.
Furthermore, Aston Villa have struggled to dominate opponents at home recently. Unai Emery’s men have secured a winning margin of two or more goals in only two of their last nine matches at Villa Park across all competitions.
When these two sides met at this venue during the league phase, Villa only managed a narrow 1-0 victory. Backing Bologna to avoid a heavy defeat by covering the Asian Handicap appears to be a sound selection.
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