Nottingham Forest vs Porto betting tips & offers: Get £30 in free bets

Nottingham Forest host Porto for the second leg of their Europa League quarter-final, with the tie finely balanced at 1-1. Check out our expert’s betting tips for the huge match, and also check out Midnite’s exciting sign up offer, which sees you get £30 in free bets for football.

Get £30 in free bets for Nottingham Forest vs Porto

Midnite‘s sign up offer is definitely one we recommend checking out as you receive £30 in free bets when you place a £10 bet, especially for those wanting to bet on the Europa League fixtures this week.

There’s also football on across the Premier League this weekend if you want to use your free bets elsewhere.

Nottingham Forest vs Porto Betting Tips

Our expert has analysed the stats and tactical setup for this clash at the City Ground, read on for the thinking behind his selections.

• Porto +0.25 Asian handicap @ 10/11

• William Gomes Carvalho To Score Anytime @ 4/1

Porto’s Underlying Numbers Offer Value

The 1-1 scoreline from the first leg in Portugal doesn’t tell the full story. Nottingham Forest were arguably fortunate to leave with a draw, having been significantly outperformed on key metrics. Porto registered 16 attempts on goal to Forest’s six and dominated the expected goals (xG) battle, creating 2.16 xG compared to just 0.45 for the Premier League side.

Forest’s equaliser came from a bizarre own goal, a moment of luck that papers over the cracks of their performance. Given Porto’s control for large parts of that game, they will be confident of creating chances again at the City Ground.

Furthermore, Forest’s home form provides little encouragement for their supporters. In the Premier League this season, they have managed only three wins from 16 fixtures on home turf, scoring just 14 goals in the process. No other team in England’s top flight has scored fewer goals at home.

Considering Porto’s European experience and Forest’s struggles to secure wins at home, backing the visitors on the Asian handicap market looks a solid play. A draw would secure a half-win on this selection, providing a valuable cushion.

• Nottingham Forest vs Porto tip 1: Porto +0.25 Asian handicap @ 10/11

In-Form Gomes a Threat in the Final Third

William Gomes Carvalho has been in excellent goalscoring form for Porto recently, finding the net four times in his last five appearances. This hot streak includes the opening goal in the first leg against Forest, demonstrating his ability to make an impact in this specific fixture.

The 20-year-old Brazilian has enjoyed a breakout season, proving his clinical edge in Europe with four goals in six Europa League starts. His domestic record is equally impressive, with eight goals from eight starts in the Primeira Liga, often making a difference from the bench for a side missing key attackers.

Having been rested over the weekend, Gomes is expected to lead the line for Porto. Despite his clear threat and recent form, he is priced generously in the anytime scorer market, making him an appealing value selection to find the net once again.

• Nottingham Forest vs Porto tip 2: William Gomes Carvalho To Score Anytime @ 4/1