Arsenal vs Burnley free bets & betting tips: Gunners to dominate at Emirates

It’s a huge match for Arsenal on Monday Night Football as they battle for the Premier League title.

They face already-relegated Burnley, and this gives the Gunners the perfect chance to move five points away from Man City in their final home game of the season.

Expect nerves and Arsenal dominance as they look to win their first title in over 20 years. Our betting expert has revealed their top tips for the match alongside Midnite’s exciting sign up offer below.

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Arsenal vs Burnley Betting Tips

Arsenal host an already-relegated Burnley side on Monday, 18th May at 8:00pm, in a match where only three points will suffice for their title ambitions. Our betting expert has analysed the stats and form for this Premier League clash, read on for the analysis behind his selections.

• Bet Builder – Arsenal Half-Time/Full-Time, Arsenal Over 6.5 Corners & Burnley Over 2.5 Cards @ 3/1
• Arsenal to Win to Nil @ 8/13
• Arsenal -2.5 Asian Handicap @ 33/40

Gunners’ Title Charge to Continue

Mikel Arteta knows the dangers of letting a relegated side linger in a match, so expect the Gunners to fly out of the traps and look to dismantle Burnley early. Arsenal have made a habit of blowing lower-half teams away in the opening 45 minutes at the Emirates, effectively putting the game to bed early so they can control the tempo and conserve energy in the second half.

With Burnley expected to play in a desperate low block to try and weather the early storm, the visitors will inevitably invite waves of sustained pressure. Arsenal’s strategy of overloading the wide areas and firing in low cutbacks routinely forces last-ditch clearances, deflections, and blocks, making a high home corner count incredibly likely in this lopsided territorial battle.

With nothing to play for and Arsenal expected to dominate possession, backing Burnley to receive over 2.5 cards is a great way to finish the bet builder. Burnley will be frustrated and tired playing Arsenal tonight, increasing the likelihood of mistimed tackles on Arsenal’s very good attackers like Bukayo Saka and Eberechi Eze, both of whom are great at drawing fouls.

• Arsenal vs Burnley tip 1 (Bet Builder): Arsenal Half-Time/Full-Time, Arsenal Over 6.5 Corners & Burnley Over 2.5 Cards @ 3/1

Another Clean Sheet on the Cards for Arteta’s Defence

Mikel Arteta’s side possesses the most formidable defence in the Premier League this season, having conceded just 26 goals in 36 matches. Crucially, they have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their league fixtures, the best record in the division.

This defensive solidity is paired with a recent run of form that has seen them win their last three matches at the Emirates without conceding. Goalkeeper David Raya has been instrumental, keeping 18 clean sheets this season and conceding just 0.72 goals per game on average.

Burnley, conversely, have struggled at both ends of the pitch. They rank second-from-bottom for goals scored and have allowed 73 goals, the worst defensive record in the league. They have conceded more than 1.5 goals in five of their last six Premier League outings.

The head-to-head history also favours a shutout for the hosts. Arsenal have won four of the last five meetings, and three of those victories came without conceding, including the 2-0 win at Turf Moor in November.

• Arsenal vs Burnley tip 2: Arsenal to win to nil @ 8/13

Goal Difference Could Prove Decisive

With the title race potentially coming down to fine margins, this fixture presents an ideal opportunity for Arsenal to bolster their goal difference. This context suggests Mikel Arteta will instruct his team to maintain attacking intent for the full 90 minutes.

Arsenal’s home form has been a cornerstone of their campaign, winning 23 of their 30 games at the Emirates across all competitions. In those matches, they have averaged 2.1 goals scored while conceding just 0.57, but they will expect to exceed that attacking average against such vulnerable opposition.

Burnley’s defensive metrics are poor, and their expected goals against (xGA) figure is the worst in the division by a considerable margin. In the reverse fixture, Burnley failed to register a single shot on target, and they are likely to be starved of possession and chances once again, facing relentless waves of Arsenal attacks.

• Arsenal vs Burnley tip 3: Arsenal -2.5 Asian Handicap @ 33/40