We are treated to a great World Cup fixture in the group stages as Norway face Senegal. The European nation won their first match, whilst Senegal lost, and with France also in the group, Norway and Senegal will be battling for second place, which will give a more favourable knockout fixture than finishing third.
We have previewed Norway vs Senegal, revealing our top tips as well as some of the best sign up offers available from UK betting sites, so be sure to check them out below.
Norway vs Senegal Betting Offers & Free Bets
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Norway vs Senegal Betting Tips
Norway and Senegal meet for a pivotal Group I encounter on Tuesday, 23rd June, with kick-off scheduled for 1.00am UK time. With a place in the knockout stages on the line, read on for our expert’s detailed analysis behind his selections.
- Match Result: Draw @ 12/5
- Match – Under 25.5 Shots @ 4/5
- Both teams to score – YES & Over 2.5 goals @ 13/10
Stalemate on the Cards in New Jersey
This is a difficult result to call, which is reflected in the bookmakers pricing both teams at odds-against. Norway are slight favourites, but Senegal’s performance against France in their opening match suggests they can compete with strong European opposition.
Despite generating just 0.53 expected goals (xG) against the French, Senegal created two big chances and showed a willingness to commit bodies forward. They frequently looked sharp in the final third and their attacking output should trouble a Norway side that has its own vulnerabilities.
While Norway secured a convincing 4-1 victory over Iraq, they still conceded from an xGA of 0.80. With Erling Haaland leading the line for Norway and Senegal possessing significant attacking depth, the two sides could cancel each other out. Given the close projections and generous price, the draw appears to offer value.
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A Cagey Affair Expected
As this is a hugely important game for both nations in the context of the group, a cagey and tactical battle could unfold. This points towards the under 25.5 shots market being a solid option.
In their opening 4-1 win against Iraq, Norway registered just 12 attempts on goal in a match that produced a total of 23 shots. While their qualifying matches saw a higher average of 26.88 shots, Ståle Solbakken’s side dominated those fixtures and will likely have far fewer attempts against a more organised Senegal outfit.
This selection has landed in eight of Senegal’s last 10 matches, where the average total shots per game was just 20.5. Their ability to limit France, arguably the most potent attack in the tournament, to a mere 11 shots in their opener further strengthens the case for a low shot count here.
Goals Expected From Both Ends
While the match could be tight, there is still strong evidence to suggest both teams will find the net in a game featuring at least three goals. This exact bet landed in the opening tournament matches for both Norway (4-1 win vs Iraq) and Senegal (3-1 loss vs France).
The data shows a consistent pattern for both teams. Both teams scored in eight of Norway’s last 10 fixtures, with six of those games also going over the 2.5 goals line. Similarly, this has been the outcome in three of Senegal’s last four matches.
Norway have scored in 19 of their last 20 games, while Senegal have found the back of the net in 13 of their last 15. With Senegal knowing a positive result is crucial, their likely aggressive approach could leave space for Erling Haaland and Norway to exploit on the counter-attack, potentially leading to an open and high-scoring affair.
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