Tottenham host Aston Villa on Saturday in a Premier League fixture where both sides are desperate for their first win of the season after in-different starts.
With both clubs struggling for form in the lower reaches of the table, it should make for an intriguing match-up with Tottenham still yet to score a goal in the league.
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Tottenham vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
Read on for our expert’s analysis and betting tips for this clash.
Points to be Shared in North London
Despite a dreadful start to the campaign for both Tottenham and Aston Villa, the latest odds suggest Spurs hold a significant edge in the 1X2 market. However, with both teams finding their only points of the season from draws, the value appears to lie in backing them to split the points once again.
Spurs are one of only two teams in the Premier League yet to score a goal, while Villa’s single strike suggests they are facing similar issues. Both sides are at the bottom of the table for expected goals (xG) produced, with a combined figure of just 3.4, strengthening the case for a draw.
Aston Villa have demonstrated that a slow start does not define their season. They failed to win their opening six league games last term before embarking on a run of 17 wins in 19 matches. This suggests Unai Emery’s side can remain competitive despite their current struggles, and underestimating them against an odds-on favourite could be a mistake.
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Goal Drought to Continue
This fixture sees two teams that have struggled profoundly in the early stages of the season, particularly in an attacking sense. We are tipping under 2.5 goals as both forward lines are still striving to find any sort of rhythm or confidence in front of goal.
The underlying numbers paint a bleak picture. Aston Villa possess the lowest xG in the Premier League after four matches with just 3.39, and they have underperformed that metric by scoring only once. On their travels, they have mustered just 19 shots across two matches, failing to score in either game.
Tottenham’s attacking statistics are just as concerning. They are yet to score a single goal this season from an xG of 3.45, which is the second-lowest in the division. Spurs’ last two league encounters have ended 0-0, and the under 2.5 goals selection has landed in three of their four Premier League games this season.
Furthermore, since Roberto De Zerbi took charge in April, Tottenham’s league matches have seen an average of just 1.82 goals per game, indicating a pattern of low-scoring contests under his management.
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Cagey Opening Half Expected
After disappointing opening-day defeats where both teams conceded heavily, a pattern has emerged in their subsequent fixtures. All three Premier League matches each side has played since the opening weekend have been level at half-time, pointing towards a cautious approach.
Tottenham conceded twice to Brentford in the first half of their season opener, while Aston Villa shipped four against Brighton in the same period. Since then, no goals have been scored in the first 45 minutes in any of their six combined matches, highlighting a clear tactical adjustment to be tighter from the start.
With both teams struggling to create chances and find the net this season, the first half could be a particularly attritional affair. Neither side has shown the capacity to break teams down, making a goalless first half seem a highly probable outcome.
