Sebastien Pocognoli begins his Scotland reign in Ljubljana on Saturday against Slovenia in the Nations League, with eight uncapped players in his squad and McTominay, Tierney and McLean all missing. Slovenia are without the injured Benjamin Sesko and have managed just four goals in their last eight competitive games.
Our experts have been through the game and picked out three selections below, along with the sign-up offers worth claiming before kick-off.
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Slovenia vs Scotland predictions & betting tips
Read on for our expert’s betting tips on Slovenia vs Scotland, taking place on Saturday afternoon.
Two Sides Who Cannot Find a Winner
Slovenia have drawn seven of their last nine competitive matches. That is not a run, that is an identity, and Bostjan Cesar’s side arrive having failed to qualify for the World Cup with a squad that has scored four goals across its last eight competitive fixtures.
Scotland’s recent record in this fixture points the same way. They are unbeaten in the last five meetings, but only two of those were wins, with three draws. Slovenia have never beaten Scotland in five attempts.
Then there is the context. Pocognoli takes charge for the first time with eight uncapped players in his squad and twelve of the North America group left out entirely. Scott McTominay, Kieran Tierney and Kenny McLean are all missing. New managers with unfamiliar sides tend to prioritise structure over ambition in their opening fixture, and an away trip is exactly where that instinct takes hold.
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Neither Attack Looks Like Breaking the Game Open
Slovenia’s preparations were undermined when Benjamin Sesko was ruled out with a shin problem. The Manchester United striker has now been absent from the national side for close to a year, and he is comfortably their most dangerous attacking player.
Scotland’s situation is starker still. Every one of the five strikers named in the World Cup squad has missed out here, with Lawrence Shankland and Che Adams both unavailable. Oli McBurnie returns after five years away and Kieron Bowie has been recalled, but this is a forward line assembled from necessity.
The tournament numbers make the point. Scotland scored once across three World Cup matches from a combined expected goals figure of 2.6, John McGinn’s deflected effort against Haiti the only time they found the net. Add no internationals for a couple of months and a new system to learn, a low-scoring afternoon looks the likeliest outcome.
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Sporar Inherits the Responsibility
With Sesko sidelined, Andraz Sporar is expected to lead the Slovenian line, and he arrives in reasonable touch after scoring twice for Slovan Bratislava earlier this month.
He also faces a Scotland back line that has been rebuilt rather than rested. Tierney’s withdrawal removes an experienced defender, uncapped players are in contention across the back four, and a side meeting its manager for the first time this week will take time to settle defensively.
Slovenia have home advantage, Jan Oblak behind them winning his 85th cap, and the greater continuity of the two teams. If a goal arrives, Sporar is the most likely source of it, and the price reflects a striker who has gone under the radar behind Sesko.
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