The Champions League is back, with Liverpool facing an away fixture against LASK this week. Liverpool are looking to respond immediately following their first competitive defeat under Andoni Iraola. The Reds were beaten 3-0 by Manchester City at the weekend, but their record in Europe suggests they have the quality to secure a comfortable victory here.
LASK, in contrast, enter this clash in poor form. They have failed to win any of their last four competitive matches, losing three. Their most recent outing saw them lose 2-0 to Rapid Wien, a match they were odds-on favourites to win, which points to a side struggling for confidence.
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LASK vs Liverpool Betting Tips
Liverpool travel to Austria to face LASK in matchday two of the Champions League league phase on Wednesday, 14th October. The action at the Raiffeisen Arena is set to kick off at 5:45pm, and our betting expert has analysed the odds to find the best value selections, so read on for the analysis behind his picks.
Value in a Victory with a Consolation
While a Liverpool win seems the most likely outcome, there is value in backing the visitors to concede along the way. The Reds allowed a goal from 0.91 Expected Goals Against (xGA) in their 2-1 victory over Atletico Madrid on matchday one, showing they can be vulnerable even in victory.
LASK may have lost 1-0 to AEK Athens in their opener, but the underlying numbers were encouraging. They generated 0.71 Expected Goals (xG) and, crucially, carved out three big chances. A lack of clinical finishing cost them in Greece, but they have shown they can create high-quality opportunities against decent opposition.
Andoni Iraola is expected to rotate his squad given the dense fixture schedule and a growing injury list, particularly in attacking areas. This could disrupt Liverpool’s defensive cohesion and offer the hosts a window of opportunity to get on the scoresheet, especially with their strong home support behind them.
The last time these two sides met at this venue in September 2023, Liverpool ran out 3-1 winners. A similar scoreline looks plausible here, with the Premier League side’s superior quality ultimately proving decisive but not before LASK give their fans something to cheer about.
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Wirtz to turn season around
Since the start of the 2024/25 season, Liverpool have been favourites in nine away Champions League matches and have won seven of them. During that impressive run, they have scored an average of 1.23 more goals per game than they have conceded, demonstrating a clear ability to impose themselves on the road. With so much of Liverpool’s creativity running through Wirtz, he is well placed to be at the heart of their attacking play from the first whistle.
LASK, in contrast, enter this clash in poor form. They have failed to win any of their last four competitive matches, losing three. Their most recent outing saw them lose 2-0 to Rapid Wien, a match they were odds-on favourites to win, which points to a side struggling for confidence and vulnerable to conceding early against quality opposition.
The hosts’ record as significant underdogs is also a major concern. Across the past three seasons, LASK have been priced over 6/1 to win on four occasions and have lost every single time, conceding a staggering average of 4.75 goals per game. With Liverpool expected to dominate possession and create plenty of chances, backing Wirtz to score first at 8/1 offers excellent value. He may be struggling in the Premier League, but he has always excelled in Europe. The German has seven Champions League goals to his name and we are backing him to add to that tally this week.
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