Liverpool take on Chelsea in the Carabao Cup this week, and it’s the most exciting tie of the round. With both just one position apart in the Premier League, we should be treated to a good encounter.
With both managers joining their clubs in the summer, this competition gives them a really good chance of winning silverware in their first season.
Check out our betting tips below, and also have a look at the sign up offers available for the match which gives you free bets for the football.
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Liverpool vs Chelsea Betting Tips
Liverpool host Chelsea in the fourth round of the EFL Cup at Anfield on Wednesday, 28th October at 8.00pm. Read on for the analysis behind our betting expert’s selections.
- Liverpool to win @ 13/10
- Liverpool to score over 1.5 goals @ 4/5
- Liverpool or Draw and Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 1/1
Hosts’ Winning Momentum Hard to Ignore
Andoni Iraola’s side head into this EFL Cup tie riding a four-game winning streak across all competitions. The Reds recently dispatched an in-form Brighton side 2-0 at Anfield, showcasing defensive solidity alongside their usual attacking output. They have won two of the last three head-to-head meetings on Merseyside and look well-placed to progress.
In contrast, Xabi Alonso is struggling to find a settled starting XI, with Chelsea losing two of their last four Premier League outings. The Blues were severely underwhelming in their recent 2-0 home defeat to Tottenham, registering a mere 0.47 xG. Furthermore, the visitors travel north without their suspended playmaker Cole Palmer and injured top scorer Joao Pedro.
Both managers are expected to rotate their squads heavily given the congested fixture list. However, Liverpool’s superior depth and home advantage give them a distinct edge over a Chelsea side vulnerable on the road. The data suggests backing the hosts to secure victory within 90 minutes offers solid value.
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Goals Expected as Rotated Sides Clash
The EFL Cup often provides managers an opportunity to field fringe players, and this fixture should be no different. Liverpool made 10 changes in the previous round against Tottenham, while Chelsea made nine in their victory over Leeds. This level of rotation naturally disrupts defensive cohesion, leading to a more open, high-tempo contest.
Chelsea have conceded 15 goals in the Premier League this season, highlighting a brittle backline that struggles in transition. Despite their defensive woes, the Blues remain potent going forward, netting 17 times in domestic action. Liverpool, meanwhile, average 1.51 xG per 90 minutes and have the firepower to exploit Chelsea’s structural frailties.
With both teams possessing strong attacking setups but fielding unsettled defences, goals at both ends look highly probable. Liverpool’s current form makes them tough to beat at Anfield, making the double chance market an ideal anchor. Siding with the hosts to avoid defeat while both teams find the net is a logical approach.
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Reds to Exploit Brittle Blues Backline
Liverpool have consistently found the back of the net in recent weeks, scoring over 1.5 goals in each of their last four competitive fixtures. At Anfield, Iraola’s men have netted at least twice in five of their seven outings. Cody Gakpo, who boasts six goals in his last eight EFL Cup appearances, is well-equipped to punish any defensive lapses.
Chelsea’s defensive record makes for grim reading, with the Blues conceding over 1.5 goals in seven of their 10 matches across all competitions. They have also shipped multiple goals in three of their four away trips this season. Given Liverpool’s attacking output and Chelsea’s structural issues, backing the home side to score at least two goals holds significant appeal.
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