It’s a huge London derby this weekend as Tottenham take on Crystal Palace, and with both sides not far from the bottom three, it feels like a win could be pivotal in helping either kickstart their campaigns.
Spurs have been in good form lately, beating Coventry and then Chelsea to pick up back-to-back wins. A third win in a row would be a big message to their fans and the rest of the division, highlighting that they should be taken seriously, unlike the last couple of seasons.
Have a look at our betting tips for the match, and we can also share some great sign up offers which give you free bets to use on the football.
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Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips
Tottenham host Crystal Palace in the Premier League at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday, 31st October, kicking off at 5.30pm. Read on for the analysis behind our betting expert’s selections.
Goals Expected As Hosts Find Their Rhythm
Spurs are beginning to play their best football of the campaign, netting five times across their last two outings. The recent 2-0 win at Stamford Bridge will notably boost spirits, especially as they now welcome a fatigued Crystal Palace squad. The Eagles face a midweek EFL Cup tie away to Fulham, affording Tottenham significantly more time to prepare for this clash.
Despite generating a modest 8.22 xG across eight league matches, Tottenham’s attack has clicked recently. They face a Palace defence that has shipped a league-high 19 goals this term. The visitors also rank 19th out of 20 for expected goals against, sitting at an alarming 15.76 xGA.
Roberto De Zerbi commented after the victory against Chelsea, noting a different attitude and improved collective performance. This mental shift is crucial for a side that previously navigated six Premier League fixtures without a win. The back-to-back victories act as a perfect springboard to exploit a vulnerable opponent.
Historical data also points towards an entertaining affair. Five of Tottenham’s 10 competitive fixtures this season have featured over 2.5 goals, while nine of Palace’s 12 matches have surpassed that mark. With the visitors conceding over 1.5 goals in each of their last four outings, backing the home side to win a high-scoring game offers clear value.
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De Zerbi’s Men To Breach Leaky Palace Backline
Tottenham have improved in front of goal recently and now face the most porous defence in the Premier League. The data suggests De Zerbi’s side are highly likely to score at least twice here. Spurs have found the back of the net in their last five competitive matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
Crystal Palace have conceded 19 league goals so far, keeping just a single clean sheet under Sage. Their underlying metrics validate this poor record, with an xGA of 15.76 standing as the second-worst in the division. Keeping the opposition at bay has been a persistent issue for the Eagles on the road, where they consistently struggle to clear their lines.
The visitors have allowed an average of 17.75 shots per Premier League away game this season. Given Tottenham’s average of 16.75 shots per home league game, the hosts will undoubtedly create plenty of chances to comfortably clear the 1.5 goals line. Sage opting for the same starting eleven against Newcastle just 60 hours after a European draw raises serious questions about squad management and defensive fatigue.
Strikers Dominic Solanke and Omar Marmoush are primed to lead the line and exploit these gaps. With Palace missing key defensive personnel like Takehiro Tomiyasu and Chadi Riad, the home side will look to commit bodies forward and overload the penalty area, ensuring they test the goalkeeper repeatedly.
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