England’s next Nations League match sees them take on Croatia. It’s similar opposition for the Three Lions, who most recently played the home side at the 2026 World Cup.
England came out on top in a 4-2 thriller, and Thomas Tuchel will be hoping to beat Croatia again on Saturday. With Spain leading the way in this Nations League group, England and Croatia are currently battling for second, so this match is a crucial one.
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Croatia vs England Betting Tips
Croatia host England in a pivotal Nations League A Group 3 fixture on Saturday, 3rd October, with kick-off scheduled for 5.00pm BST. Our betting expert has analysed the form and statistics for both sides, so read on for the detailed breakdown behind his selections.
Three Lions Tipped to Continue Dominance
England enter this clash with three points from their opening two Nations League matches. After a disappointing start against Spain, they recorded a professional win over Czechia in their last outing, and the data suggests they can build on that momentum by securing another victory in Croatia.
Since Thomas Tuchel took the helm, England have been a formidable force in competitive fixtures, losing just two of 18 matches while winning 14. During this impressive run, they have averaged a healthy 2.5 goals per game, with their only defeats coming in matches where they were priced as outsiders.
Croatia’s form in 2026 has been inconsistent, with five wins and five losses from ten games. Tellingly, they have been priced above 4.00 in four of those matches, a similar situation to this fixture. They lost all four of those games, conceding an average of 3.25 goals.
Recent history also favours the visitors. England have won their last three encounters with Croatia, including a dominant 4-2 victory during the group stage of the 2026 World Cup.
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Goals Expected but England to Avoid Defeat
England arrive in Croatia as odds-on favourites, a pricing that mirrors their status for the clash at the recent tournament in North America, despite that match being played at a neutral venue. This indicates a strong market confidence in Tuchel’s side.
That 4-2 win showcased England’s attacking quality under pressure. The underlying numbers from that day, with England generating 3.20 expected goals (xG) to Croatia’s 0.70, told a story of superior attacking output and justifies their favouritism here.
Despite being soundly beaten 4-1 by Spain on matchday two, Croatia still managed to get on the scoresheet. Slaven Bilić’s team has now found the net in seven consecutive matches, including against high-calibre opposition like Portugal and England during the summer.
Therefore, while England appear well-placed to take at least a point from this fixture, Croatia’s consistent scoring record makes combining the Double Chance with Both Teams to Score a compelling selection.
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Croatia’s Attack to Trouble Three Lions Defence
Even though they were comprehensively beaten by Spain in their last game, Croatia still demonstrated their attacking threat by finding the net. Playing at home, they will be expected to pose problems for an England defence that has looked vulnerable.
Both teams have scored in Croatia’s two Nations League games so far, and this bet has now landed in five of their six competitive matches since the beginning of the summer finals. The only exception was a narrow 1-0 win over Panama.
Under Thomas Tuchel, England have scored in 17 of their 18 competitive matches, but keeping clean sheets has been an issue. Both teams scored in six of the seven games where England were priced above 1.50, suggesting that when faced with decent opposition, their defence can be breached.
