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Betting Sites » News » Eurovision 2026 semi final 1: Betting odds, free bets, tips & running order

Eurovision 2026 semi final 1: Betting odds, free bets, tips & running order

3BA1EYP Basel, Switzerland. 11th May, 2025. JJ of Austria during the Turquoise Carpet of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 on 11 May 2025 in Basel Switzerland. Phot Credit: Nderim Kaceli/Alamy Live News Credit: Nderim Kaceli/Alamy Live News

The first Eurovision semi-final of 2026 takes place on Tuesday 12th May, as 15 countries vie for 10 spots in Saturday’s final.

We’ll take you through our tips for the semi, as well as the best Eurovision betting offers, so you can get yourself some free bets to use ahead of the final.

Top 10 Eurovision free bets & betting offers

For most Eurovision fans, the big night is a genuine highlight of the TV calendar, but you can add even more excitement by earning Eurovision free bets for the final. Here we’ve highlighted several top betting offers which only need a qualifying bet of £10. In some cases, signing up can trigger as much as £40 in free bets, while others give you double the odds of your first bet, so don’t miss out.

Paddy Power
£40 in Free Bets When you place a £5 Bet
  • Power Prices, Wonder Wheel & Acca Insurance among a range of top offers
  • Innovative Super Sub offer means bets roll over to the player coming on
New Customer offer. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £40 in free bets. Free bet rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Pay by Bank, Debit Cards & Apple Pay will qualify for this offer. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+. #ad
Sky Bet
£30 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU PLACE ANY BET
  • Stake as little as £1 to benefit from new customer offer
  • Recent site refresh has made navigation far more friendly
New customers only. First single & E/W bet only. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 3 X £10 bet tokens. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Free bets exclude virtuals. Free bets are non withdrawable. Free bets expire after 30 days. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org #ad
bet365
Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365.
  • Tons of free-to-play games offering free bets & huge cash prizes
  • Super Boosts & Boosted Bet Builders guarantee attractive odds daily
18+. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required.
Grosvenor
Double the odds ( all sports)
  • Many promotional offers
  • Plenty of payment methods available
New Customers. Max £10 (exc. Paypal). 100% Odds boost token. T&Cs apply 18+. GambleAware.org
BOYLE Sports
Bet £10 Get £40 in Free Bets
  • Plenty of promotions for existing customers
  • Extra Place races available
18+. New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Account & Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
William Hill
Get £30 in free bets when you bet £10
  • Best Odds Guaranteed starts as early as 8am each day
  • Boosted winnings on Bet Builders and Accumulators
18+. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 18.10.2022. £30 bonus. New customers only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook (excluding Virtual markets). Further terms apply. www.gambleaware.org #ad
Midnite
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
  • Daily free-to-play scratch card offers free spins & prizes
  • Easy to navigate around site and mobile betting app
18+ New customers only. Place a £10+ bet at min odds 1/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get £30 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org
Parimatch
Bet £10 on any Sports Get £25 in Free Bets
  • Welcome offer is amongst most generous
  • Scoreline Selector offers weekly free bets
18+ New customers only. Opt in, Deposit & Bet £10 on any Sports market (odds 2.00+) within 7 days of registration. No cash out. Get £25 in Free Bets for any Sports market (odds 2.00+) 7 days expiry. T&Cs Apply. GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly
BresBet
Bet £10 Get £10 Free Bet
  • With AccaStacca, land 4 winning acca in a month to earn a £30 free bet
  • Daily free to play game gives you the chance to win free spins
T&Cs apply. 18+ New customers only. You must place a single win-only bet of £10 or more with odds of evens (2.00) or greater to qualify. Money back as £10 in free bets. Free bet is credited the day after the qualifying bet has settled. Must use code B10G10 when creating an account. GambleAware.org
Dabble
Bet £10 Get £10
  • Regularly run refer-a-friend offers, earning you £10 per friend
New customers only. Bet £10+ to receive £10 in Free Bets. 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. GambleAware.org.

Eurovision semi-final 1 betting tips & predictions

  • Finland to win semi-final 1 @ 4/6 with Sky Bet
  • Croatia each-way (top 3) for semi-final 1 @ 66/1 with Coral
  • Georgia to qualify for the final @ 12/5 with Paddy Power

Seven can prove lucky for Finland

Eurovision trends are one way to approach betting on the annual music event, and Finland tick a few boxes for us here. Well-performed duets have a strong record over the years, as do songs featuring violins, while Finland’s recent Eurovision record is also more than respectable, particularly at the semi-final stage where they’ve qualified comfortably for five years in a row now.

Normally I’d be a tad wary of backing a song performing in seventh place, as there is still half the field to come. However, the first half of semi-final one is where you can find all the quality this year, and so Finland will actually take to the stage after most of their genuine rivals have performed.

A slight rule change to reintroduce jury points in semi-finals also plays into Finland’s hands, potentially damaging the hopes of Greece, Israel and Moldova, which are all more reliant on votes from the viewing public.

Odds of 4/6 might not be enough to bring forward your retirement but they can certainly cover the cost of a Saturday night Eurovision party.

  • Eurovision tip 1: Finland to win semi-final 1 @ 4/6 with Sky Bet
Sky Bet
£30 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU PLACE ANY BET
  • Stake as little as £1 to benefit from new customer offer
  • Recent site refresh has made navigation far more friendly
New customers only. First single & E/W bet only. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 3 X £10 bet tokens. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Free bets exclude virtuals. Free bets are non withdrawable. Free bets expire after 30 days. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org #ad

Something to Cro about

If betting odds of 4/6 are too short to tempt you, then worry not, as our second tip comes in at odds of 66/1.

Croatia’s Eurovision record is mixed at best, with a second-placed finish in 2024 providing their first top 10 finish since way back in 2001.

This doesn’t deter us though. Croatia should really appeal to their neighbours with this Slavic folk number, and the song is very different to anything else we’ll see in this semi-final. Winning the semi is almost certainly a bridge too far, but third place isn’t beyond the realms of possibility, as certainly isn’t as unlikely as the odds suggest.

  • Eurovision tip 2: Croatia each-way (top 3) for semi-final 1 @ 66/1 with Coral
Coral
Get £30 in Free bets – When you bet £5 on Sports
  • Free-to-play football and racing predictors
  • Part-own a horse with Coral Racing Club
18+ New UK + ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 6 x £5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stakes not returned). Restrictions + T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Georgia on my mind

The withdrawal of some countries means only five countries taking part in each of this year’s semi-finals will ultimately miss out on a place in the grand final.

That boosts the hopes of Georgia enough to tempt us in, with odds of 2/1 that they’ll finish in the top 10.

The Georgian entry will be performed after an underwhelming Portuguese act, which should help them stand out, while it feels like there are enough duds in the semi – step forward Belgium, Estonia and San Marino in particular – to put Bzikebi right in contention to qualify.

  • Eurovision top 3: Georgia to qualify for the final @ 12/5 with Paddy Power
Paddy Power
£40 in Free Bets When you place a £5 Bet
  • Power Prices, Wonder Wheel & Acca Insurance among a range of top offers
  • Innovative Super Sub offer means bets roll over to the player coming on
New Customer offer. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £40 in free bets. Free bet rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Pay by Bank, Debit Cards & Apple Pay will qualify for this offer. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. 18+. #ad

Eurovision 2026 semi final 1 running order

You can find the Eurovision 2026 semi final 1 running order below, as well as each nation’s song, and the qualification odds for each country. Remember, most of the better songs are performing in the first half of the show, so don’t turn on late!

Running OrderCountrySongQualification OddsImplied Probability
1MoldovaViva, Moldova!1/889%
2SwedenMy System1/4198%
3CroatiaAndromeda1/1292%
4GreeceFerto1/10099%
5PortugalRosa6/546%
6GeorgiaOn Replay12/529%
7FinlandLiekinheitin1/10099%
8MontenegroNova Zora11/1048%
9EstoniaToo Epic To Be True17/1037%
10IsraelMichelle1/4198%
11BelgiumDancing on the Ice15/835%
12LithuaniaSólo quiero más2/571%
13San MarinoSuperstar9/218%
14PolandPray5/655%
15SerbiaKraj mene2/778%
Odds displayed are correct as of 5.15pm, Monday 11th May 2026. Odds are subject to change.