The last set of fixtures in Group I delivers a massive clash between Norway and France. Both nations have won all their matches so far, and they are battling for first place in their group.
Even though they have both already qualified for the knockouts, finishing first could be the difference between a more favourable run, so it’s still all the play for when the pair meet in Boston.
Check out our betting tips for Norway vs France, and also see how you can get over £300 in free bets for the World Cup.
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We are now just a few days away from the knockout stages of the 2026 World Cup, and with more on the line, it’s a great time to sign up to some of the best betting sites in order to take advantage of the free bets they have on offer.
It’s also a great time to sign up alongside the last round of the group stages taking place as multiple nations are either fighting for their place in the knockouts or looking for a more favourable run by finishing in the top two, so there’s still a lot to play for.
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Norway vs France Betting Tips
Norway and France meet at the Gillette Stadium in Boston on Friday, 26th June, in a match that will decide the winner of Group I. Both nations have already secured their passage to the knockout stages, and you can find our expert analysis behind the selections right here.
Les Bleus’ Quality to Tell in Group Decider
Both France and Norway have booked their places in the Round of 32 after winning their opening two matches. While progression is assured, this fixture is a decider for top spot in Group I, which offers the winner a more favourable draw in the next stage.
The bookmakers have priced France as firm favourites, implying they have the attacking quality to outscore their opponents. This view is supported by Norway’s defensive record; they have conceded at least one goal in seven of their last eight fixtures and do not present as a formidable unit at the back.
While Norway’s attack often bails them out, relying solely on goals may not be a sustainable strategy against the tournament’s elite nations. Their only recent fixture against a superior European side, the Netherlands, ended in a 2-1 defeat where they were comprehensively outplayed on key metrics like shots and expected goals (xG).
Didier Deschamps’ side should have enough to claim all three points, although Norway’s attack, led by Erling Haaland, is likely to test the French defence on several occasions.
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French Attack to Pepper Norway’s Goal
France’s attacking unit appears to have found its rhythm at the perfect time, and our analysis suggests they will register at least 15 shots in this encounter. This market holds appeal given their recent performances and Norway’s defensive frailties.
In their comfortable 3-0 victory over Iraq, the French side amassed a total of 19 attempts on goal. Kylian Mbappé was central to this, contributing eight of those shots himself as he looks to strengthen his position in the race for the Golden Boot.
This high shot volume is not an anomaly. Since the beginning of 2025, France have played 16 matches and have maintained an impressive average of 18.75 shots per game, highlighting a consistent tactical approach focused on creating numerous chances.
Norway, meanwhile, showed defensive vulnerabilities against Senegal, conceding 16 shots in a narrow 3-2 win. Given that France represents a significant step up in quality, it is reasonable to expect Norway’s backline to be put under sustained pressure throughout the match.
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Late Drama Expected in Boston
The data from the opening two rounds of fixtures points towards a second half filled with goalmouth action. Both France and Norway have been particularly effective after the interval, scoring five and four goals respectively in the second 45 minutes of their games so far.
Furthermore, all four matches involving these two nations in the tournament have produced at least two goals after half-time. This trend suggests that the games tend to open up as they progress, leading to more scoring opportunities.
With Norway needing a victory to secure top spot and having not kept a clean sheet yet, an end-to-end contest is anticipated. This could lead to a flurry of goals late on as one or both teams push for a decisive result.
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