Sporting CP host Arsenal in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final on Tuesday, 7th April. With the Gunners looking to bounce back from defeat in the FA Cup it should be a great match, and we can reveal over £150 in free bet offers available at UK betting sites.
Sporting CP vs Arsenal betting offers & free bets
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Sporting CP vs Arsenal betting tips
Our betting expert has analysed the stats and form for this clash, read on for the thinking behind his selections.
Defences to be Breached in Cautious First Leg
The onus is on Sporting to establish an advantage in Lisbon, but they face a formidable Arsenal side who are favourites to win the competition. Mikel Arteta’s team is built on a solid defensive foundation, a fact backed up by the underlying numbers. No team has conceded a lower expected goals against (xGA) total than the Gunners’ 7.54 in this season’s Champions League.
Arsenal are capable of keeping contests tight, particularly in the first leg of a knockout tie away from home. This was evident in their previous round against Bayer Leverkusen, where they fell behind before a late penalty secured a 1-1 draw. A similar scoreline looks plausible here, as three of Arsenal’s five away draws this term have finished 1-1.
Sporting, however, have demonstrated they possess the attacking quality to trouble top opposition. They have found the net in all five of their Champions League home fixtures this season. Given their need to take a positive result to London, they are expected to commit bodies forward and test an Arsenal defence that can be breached.
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Goals Expected at Both Ends in Portugal
Sporting know they must make their home advantage count before the return leg at the Emirates. Their attacking record at the Estádio José Alvalade in Europe is strong, having scored in all five home matches while averaging 2.8 goals per game. The ‘Both Teams To Score’ market has been a winning bet in four of those five encounters.
While Arsenal’s defensive metrics are impressive, they have conceded in four of their last six matches in this competition. This includes their last two away fixtures, suggesting they are not invulnerable on their travels. Keeping the home side at bay for the full 90 minutes will be a significant challenge.
Recent history between these two clubs also points towards goals. Both teams have scored in the last three head-to-head meetings, indicating a pattern of open encounters. With Sporting pushing for a first-leg lead and Arsenal carrying a consistent goal threat, siding with both teams to find the net offers value.
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