It’s a huge night for Barcelona as they try to come back from a 2-0 deficit against Atletico Madrid in the quarter-finals of the Champions League. Check out our expert’s betting tips for the match and also see how you can receive over £200 in free bets via betting sites.
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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona betting tips
Atletico Madrid host Barcelona for the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final, holding a solid 2-0 aggregate lead. With the Catalan side needing to attack from the outset, our betting expert has analysed the key markets.
Read on for the analysis behind his selections.
- Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/7
- 1st Half – Over 1.5 Goals @ 9/10
- Over 3.5 goals, Lewandowski & Alvarez to score, & Musso 4+ saves @ 6/1
Goals Expected as Barca Chase Deficit
Matches involving these two clubs have been some of the most goal-friendly in this season’s Champions League. Barcelona’s fixtures have seen an average of 4.45 goals per game, a figure that points towards an open encounter, especially given the context of the tie.
Hansi Flick’s side must adopt an aggressive approach to overturn the two-goal deficit. While they average a healthy 2.73 goals per game in the competition, their defensive record is a concern, having failed to keep a single clean sheet. Consequently, the bet for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals has landed in eight of their 11 Champions League outings this term.
Atletico’s home record further strengthens this selection. Their Champions League games at the Metropolitano have averaged 4.67 goals, with this specific bet winning in all six of those matches. Although a clean sheet would see them through, Diego Simeone’s team have scored in their last seven home fixtures across all competitions, suggesting they will play their part in the scoreline.
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Early Action Anticipated in Madrid
Barcelona’s need for goals means they are likely to apply pressure from the first whistle. They managed 18 shots in the first leg, even after being reduced to ten men before half-time, which underscores their attacking intent. Expect Flick to instruct his players to commit bodies forward early on to unsettle the hosts.
Recent history between the sides supports the likelihood of a high-scoring first half. When Barcelona were behind in the Copa Del Rey against Atletico last month, they were leading 2-0 by half-time. Furthermore, four of the five meetings between these teams this season have featured two or more goals before the break.
Atletico’s own form points towards an open start. Their last eight home matches in all competitions have seen at least two goals scored in the first half, with an average of 2.38 first-half goals per game during that run. This trend suggests the game state will be conducive to early chances and goals for both sides.
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Expect lots of action as Barcelona attack in Madrid
With Hansi Flick’s side forced to commit bodies forward to save their season, the over 3.5 goals market looks enticing, especially given that these two teams combined for 12 goals across their last three domestic meetings. Robert Lewandowski, despite speculation about his future, remains Barca’s focal point and famously scored the winner in the league encounter at this venue just ten days ago, while Julián Alvarez enters in lethal form, having already put the Catalans to the sword in the first leg.
However, the most pivotal figure for this 6/1 bet builder may be Atleti keeper Juan Musso; as Barcelona’s attack ramps up the pressure, the Argentine, who has already averaged nearly seven saves per match in his recent Champions League outings, will likely be called upon for 4+ saves to withstand a desperate Barcelona onslaught
- Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona tip 3: Over 3.5 goals, Lewandowski & Alvarez to score, & Musso 4+ saves @ 6/1
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