Get three Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid predictions and betting tips from our football expert, before Wednesday’s Champions League clash (8pm, 12/3/2025).
Real Madrid won the first leg 2-1, which leaves the return match on a knife-edge with a place in the quarter-finals on the line.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
- Real Madrid to win @ 13/8 with bet365
- Kylian Mbappe Over 1.5 Shots on Target @ 6/5 with bet365
- Over 11 corners @ 11/8 with bet365
All odds are courtesy of bet365, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Carlo’s champs to show their pedigree
There’s a sense – borne out by history – that when the going gets tough, when the situation gets tight, when the pressure is on, Real Madrid just know how to deliver.
As 15-time winners of the Champions League, they have continued to prove that they just know how to get results, and it’s worth backing them to do it again across Madrid at the Estadio Metropolitano.
Real won a surprisingly tame first leg at the Bernabeu last week 2-1, which means the onus is on Atletico to come out firing at home.
However, they have won only two of their last seven matches, including a shock weekend loss to another Madrid neighbour, Getafe, to cede second spot in La Liga to Real.
Carlo Ancelotti’s defending champions won 3-2 at Manchester City in the previous round and have now triumphed in three straight Champions League away games.
They have never lost a two-legged Champions League tie against Atletico – while also beating them in two finals – and their famed front three of Rodrygo, Vinicius Junior and Kylian Mbappe can supply that one magic moment which may well decide this tie.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Tip 1: Real Madrid @ 13/8 with bet365
Mbappe’s hot streak to continue
Kylian Mbappe has looked sharper than at any point since he joined Real Madrid and his record this season is sparkling.
The French superstar has scored 28 goals in all competitions, including seven in his last eight games.
He has scored seven times in the Champions League, most notably grabbing a hat-trick against Manchester City in the previous round.
No one has had more efforts on target than Mbappe in the tournament to date – 25 in 11 appearances – so if anyone can find a way through Atletico’s defences it’s him.
Atletico are going to have to come out and play at some point so Mbappe is a fair bet to have over 1.5 shots on target.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Tip 2: Kylian Mbappe Over 1.5 Shots on Target @ 6/5 with bet365
High stakes can result in high corner count
It’s all or nothing for these teams so expect the game to open up.
The first match, which was largely turgid and certainly did not open up, still gave us nine corners, six for Real.
A high-stakes return leg should add up to a high corner count, and it may be worth chancing there are 12 or more corners at a nice price.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Tip 3: Over 11 corners @ 11/8 with bet365
