Belgium face Iran in their next World Cup group, and with all four teams in Group G drawing their first match, it’s wide open, so a win is crucial for either team as they look to make it to the knockouts.
Our betting experts have previewed the game, revealing some exciting tips for Belgium vs Iran, and with so many sign up offers available for the World Cup, they have shared their favourite ones ahead of the action.
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Belgium vs Iran Betting Tips
Belgium and Iran meet in a crucial Group G match on Sunday, 21st June, with both sides looking for their first win of the tournament. Our expert has analysed the key stats and tactics, so read on for the reasoning behind his top three selections.
Red Devils Tipped to Secure Crucial Victory
Belgium enter this fixture on an impressive 14-match unbeaten streak, which includes nine wins and five draws. Despite this run, they were held to a frustrating 1-1 draw against Egypt in their opening game of the 2026 tournament.
With all teams in Group G level on one point, this match carries significant weight. A victory for the Belgians would all but guarantee their place in the Round of 32, and they possess the quality to overcome an Iran side that also drew its first match against New Zealand.
A key factor will be the likely return of Romelu Lukaku to the starting lineup. The striker made a significant impact from the bench against Egypt, playing a role in the equaliser. His physical presence is expected to cause major problems for an Iranian defence that conceded two goals against New Zealand.
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Belgian Attack to Fire on All Cylinders
Even in a performance considered below their best, Belgium managed to register 15 shots against Egypt. Facing an arguably weaker Iranian side, the expectation is for their attacking output to increase significantly, making the shots market an interesting angle.
Since Rudi Garcia took charge, Belgium have averaged 18.73 shots per game across 15 matches. This consistent attacking intent suggests that a high shot count is a core part of their tactical approach under the current manager.
This trend is particularly pronounced in matches where Belgium are strong favourites. On the eight occasions they have been priced below 1.50 to win, they have exceeded the 16.5 shots line every single time, averaging an impressive 21.63 shots per game in those fixtures.
Iran’s defensive display in their opener adds weight to this selection. They allowed New Zealand to take 14 shots against them, and Belgium’s more potent attack should be able to create even more opportunities, making a high shot tally a strong possibility.
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Goals Expected as Iran Carry Threat
Belgium were priced similarly for their opening match against Egypt, a game where they looked defensively vulnerable. Egypt managed to create several chances, registering 14 shots and accumulating 1.04 expected goals (xG), highlighting that Belgium’s backline can be tested.
Iran demonstrated their own attacking potential in a 2-2 draw with New Zealand. Their threat is not concentrated on one player; 11 different players registered a shot in that game. Ramin Rezaeian was particularly influential, contributing both a goal and an assist, showcasing that Iran can find the net from multiple sources.
Given Iran’s need for a positive result and Belgium’s defensive frailties shown against Egypt, there is value in backing both teams to score. However, Belgium’s superior overall quality should ultimately prove decisive, making a home win combined with goals at both ends an appealing selection.
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