There’s a big London derby in the Premier League this weekend as Chelsea take on Spurs at Stamford Bridge.
The Blues have started the season well and look like they will be in the battle for the top four, while Spurs look like they could be in a relegation battle again after picking up their first win at the seventh attempt last weekend.
You can check out our betting tips for Chelsea vs Spurs, and you can also see how you can get over £200 in free bets. This includes an exciting sign up offer from Sky Bet, which gives you boosted odds of 50/1 for a goal to be scored in the match.
Chelsea vs Tottenham Free Bets & Betting Offers
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Chelsea vs Tottenham Betting Tips
Chelsea host Tottenham at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, 24th October at 5.30pm in a pivotal Premier League fixture. Read on to check out the tactical analysis behind our betting expert’s selections.
- Chelsea to win @ 4/6
- Tottenham Asian Handicap +1 @ 8/11
- Over 2.5 goals & Both teams to score – YES @ 5/6
Chelsea’s Clinical Edge Should Prove Decisive
Xabi Alonso has quickly instilled a potent attacking structure at Chelsea, guiding them to four wins and one draw in their opening five home fixtures. The Blues consistently exploit defensive gaps, significantly overperforming their 9.86 xG by netting 17 Premier League goals already. This clinical finishing is largely driven by forwards like Joao Pedro, who has registered a goal contribution every 65 minutes.
Tottenham arrive with a high-pressing system under Roberto De Zerbi, leading the division in passes per defensive action (PPDA). However, aggressively committing bodies forward often leaves space in behind, which Chelsea’s pacey attackers are perfectly equipped to punish in transition. Spurs have conceded an average of 1.21 goals per game under their current manager, frequently struggling to maintain defensive solidity when stepping up the pitch.
History heavily favours the hosts in this London derby. Chelsea remain unbeaten in their last eight home league meetings against Spurs, recording six victories in that span. With the visitors hampered by defensive absences including Pedro Porro and Destiny Udogie, the data suggests backing a home victory offers the most logical angle.
Chelsea simply possess too much firepower for a makeshift Tottenham defence to handle over 90 minutes. Alonso has seamlessly toggled between a back three and a back four, keeping opposing managers guessing while maintaining a lethal threat in the final third. The hosts should ultimately control the tempo and secure all three points.
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Spurs Capable of Keeping Things Competitive
Tottenham’s underlying numbers indicate they are becoming tougher to break down away from home despite their lowly 16th-place league position. Spurs have lost just one of their past nine away Premier League matches by more than a single goal, recently grinding out battling draws against Nottingham Forest and Manchester United. De Zerbi’s tactical shift has evidently made them more resilient out of possession, ensuring they rarely get blown away by superior opposition.
Chelsea secured a rare clean sheet against Everton last weekend, but their broader defensive metrics remain highly questionable. Prior to that fixture, Alonso’s men were conceding 2.17 goals per league game, routinely affording opponents high-quality chances. The absence of their first-choice goalkeeper due to a fractured jaw, coupled with missing full-backs Reece James and Malo Gusto, only adds uncertainty to the hosts’ defensive structure.
Tottenham generated much-needed momentum with a 3-1 victory over Coventry, proving they can capitalise when dominating the ball with 86% possession. Given Chelsea’s tendency to allow opportunities at the other end, taking the visitors with a one-goal head start provides a sensible safety net. Our betting expert notes that this exact fixture ended 2-1 last season, a result that would see stakes returned here.
The data highlights that Tottenham have recorded a higher expected goals tally than their opponents in five of their seven league outings. Irrespective of the final outcome, Spurs possess the tactical discipline to keep the deficit narrow. Backing the Asian Handicap line ensures profits even if the visitors suffer a narrow defeat.
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Attacking Quality Points Towards a High-Scoring Affair
Matches involving Chelsea have been consistently entertaining under Alonso, averaging a staggering 4.14 goals per game in the Premier League. The Blues boast the third-best attack in the division, but their aggressive setup often leaves them exposed to counter-attacks. This dynamic has resulted in the proposed selection landing in six of their nine fixtures across all competitions this term, including every single match at Stamford Bridge.
Tottenham’s attacking output has been modest, but netting three times against Coventry suggests their forward line is beginning to click. With De Zerbi instructing his side to press aggressively and disrupt Chelsea’s build-up, this clash possesses all the ingredients for a frantic, end-to-end encounter. If the visitors can bypass the initial counter-press, they will find spaces to exploit behind Chelsea’s advanced full-backs.
Individual quality operating in the final third adds further weight to this selection. Pedro Neto thrived in an advanced role last weekend, scoring twice, while Cole Palmer and Morgan Rogers continue to dictate play between the lines. With both managers prioritising attacking intent over low blocks, backing goals at both ends provides solid value.
Spurs rely heavily on quick transitions to feed their attackers and exploit disjointed defensive lines. Chelsea’s home league games are currently averaging 5.3 goals, highlighting the chaotic nature of their recent performances. Consequently, expecting at least three goals with both teams contributing looks a highly logical angle.
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