Get three Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain predictions and betting tips from our football expert before Tuesday’s 20:00 Champions League clash (11/03/2025).
Liverpool are looking to secure a place in the quarter-finals of the Champions League when they take a 1-0 lead into the second leg of their last-16 tie against Paris Saint-Germain at Anfield on Tuesday.
The home side dominated the first match in Paris last week, but were caught out by a late breakaway as Liverpool substitute Harvey Elliott scored the only goal of the game.
It’s a big week for Liverpool with the EFL Cup final against Newcastle coming up on Sunday but Arne Slot’s team can’t afford to take their eye off the task at hand with a talented team arriving on Merseyside for what should be an entertaining match.
Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain Betting Tips
- PSG to win @ 9/5 with bet365
- Over 3.5 goals in the match @ 11/8 with bet365
- Ousmane Dembele anytime goalscorer @ 7/4 with bet365
All odds are courtesy of bet365, correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
PSG showed they have ability to challenge Reds
PSG manager Luis Enrique will have been immensely frustrated that his team did not win the home leg of this tie after they were on top against the Premier League leaders for the majority of the game.
The late goal was a real kick in the teeth but on reflection Enrique should be encouraged that his team had played so well and they have another chance to prove they are capable of beating the Reds.
PSG rained 18 shots on the Liverpool goal but goalkeeper Alisson had a fantastic night and set up his side to win by converting their only shot on target in the match.
The hosts won 14 corners to Liverpool’s two and it will probably take another sterling defensive performance from the Reds to keep them at bay.
Slot’s team failed to impress in Saturday’s Premier League game against rock-bottom Southampton, winning 3-1 after trailing 1-0 at half-time, and that was the fourth time they have conceded in their last six home matches.
The Reds won all four of their home fixtures in the League Phase, but their hectic schedule may just be starting to take a toll on their squad.
PSG warmed up for this contest with a 4-1 Ligue 1 success at Rennes, their 11th win in their last 12 matches, taking the opportunity to rest some of their stars as their lead in their domestic standings is even bigger than Liverpool’s at 16 points.
Having shown their quality in the first match, without getting the result their performance merited, PSG are a value bet to get their revenge in the second leg.
Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain Tip 1: PSG to win @ 9/5 with bet365
Second clash should produce more goals
There was no lack of entertainment in the first match despite the 1-0 scoreline as PSG had 10 shots on target in a game that would have been a worthwhile viewing choice for neutral fans.
More of the same can be expected at Anfield but it would be no surprise if there are more goals this time.
Liverpool scored at least twice in each of their four home League-Phase games, while PSG’s forwards caught fire after a slow start in this competition, scoring 11 goals in their final three group games – including four each against Manchester City and Stuttgart – before routing Brest 10-0 on aggregate in the play-off round.
The French side have had away wins by 4-1, 5-2, 3-0, 3-2, 7-0 and 4-1 in just the last six weeks and with nothing to lose, they can unleash all their attacking force on the home side.
Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals @ 11/8 with bet365
Dembele a threat to the hosts
Ousmane Dembele is scoring at a rate of almost a goal per game for PSG in Ligue 1 this season with 20 in 23 games and has added seven more in cup competitions.
The France international bagged a Champions League hat-trick against Stuttgart in the League Phase and fired in two more in the first leg of the play-off round against Brest.
The 27-year-old former Barcelona man has scored in 13 of his last 16 appearances, including two goals at Rennes on Saturday, when he was left out of the starting line-up to stay fresh for this match but still notched twice in 26 minutes as a substitute.
Whatever the result of the match, Dembele looks a value bet to get on the scoresheet at Anfield.
Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain Tip 3: Ousmane Dembele anytime goalscorer @ 7/4 with bet365
