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Betting Sites » News » Love Island odds: New favourites ahead of Shakira & Ty’s big decision

Love Island odds: New favourites ahead of Shakira & Ty’s big decision

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Monday night’s huge cliffhanger has resulted in a major reset in the Love Island betting odds. Tommy had been the long-term favourite to be crowned the winning male contestant, but both viewers and betting sites appear to think his days may be numbered.

Love Island UK latest news

In a shocking turn of events, Ben and Andrada were sent packing after being voted the least compatible couple by the public. But just as the Islanders were beginning to digest the news, a new twist landed via text: another couple is set to leave, this time, chosen by their fellow Islanders.

Conor and Emma, Harrison and Lauren, and Tommy and Lucy were revealed as the bottom three couples. Meanwhile, Shakira and Ty, voted the most compatible, were handed the power to decide which of the three would be dumped from the villa.

As the episode drew to a tense close, Shakira and Ty were seen heading off for a private conversation to make their decision.

And if the odds are to be believed, the likeliest outcome will see Tommy and Lucy’s days numbered. With Shakira growing increasingly close to Conor, she appears unlikely to vote him out. Meanwhile, she also won’t want to jeopardise her best friend Toni’s potential rekindling with Harrison, leaving Tommy and Lucy as the only viable option.

The final decision airs on Tuesday night, with UK betting sites already reacting to the most likely outcome.

Love Island Top Male betting odds

Tommy had been prominent in the Love Island odds since the series began, with his odds cut to just 6/4 at one point last week. However the latest twist has seen the Love Island odds completely turned on their head. Ty and Conor are now the new favourites, ahead of Harry, and the relatively new to the scene Cach.

Love Island contestantsOddsImplied Probability
Ty Isherwood4/120%
Conor Phillips4/120%
Harry Cooksley5/117%
Cach Mercer5/117%
Dejon Noel-Williams11/215%
Jamie Rhodes13/213%
Odds displayed are correct as of 12pm, 15th July 2025. Odds are subject to change.
bet365
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Love Island Top Female betting odds

Shakira has headed the top Love Island female betting odds since the start of the week, and the latest twist, has only served to shorten her odds even further. She’s now the hot favourite – whether that’s alongside current partner Ty or ultimately pairing up with Conor – ahead of Toni, Megan, Yasmin and Helena. There’ll no doubt be further odds changes depending on how things develop with Conor in the days and weeks ahead.

Love Island contestantsOddsImplied Probability
Shakira Khan6/440%
Toni Laites11/215%
Megan Moore6/114%
Yasmin Pettet6/114%
Helena Ford7/112%
Odds displayed are correct as of 12pm, 15th July 2025. Odds are subject to change.
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Love Island betting sites & free bets

Although Love Island is a hugely popular programme to both watch and bet on, not every betting site offers odds on who’ll win the addictive show. With that in mind, here are some of the UK betting sites which do offer odds on the show’s outcome. Remember, if you haven’t signed up yet, you could net yourself some handy free bets to use as you wish.

Love Island betting sitesLove Island free bets
Sky Bet£30 in free bets when you place any bet
Paddy Power£30 in free bets when you place a £5 bet
bet365Bet £10 and get £30 in free bets
William HillGet £40 in free bets when you deposit and bet £10
Virgin BetBet £10, get £20 in free bets
Betfred£50 in free bets when you bet £10
Love Island free bets & betting sites

Love Island free bets – Key T&Cs

  • Sky Bet: New customers only. First single & E/W bet only. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 3 X £10 bet tokens. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Free bets exclude virtuals. Free bets are non withdrawable. Free bets expire after 30 days. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs apply. 18+. GambleAware.org
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  • Paddy Power: New Customer offer – Use promo code YSKAST. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £30 in free bets. Free bet rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Debit Cards & Apple Pay will qualify for this offer. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
  • bet365: 18+. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required.
  • William Hill: 18+. Play Safe. Online only. For new UK register customers using promo code G40. Deposit & place £10 cash single bet (min odds 1/2) on sportsbook (excl. Virtuals). Get £40 in Free Bets (4x£10), valid for sportsbook (excl. Virtuals), 7 days expiry, must use in full (£10 each). Not valid with deposits via PayPal, Neosurf, Paysafe, Apple Pay, NETELLER, Skrill, ecoPayz, Kalibra/Postpay or WH PLUS Card. One per customer. Full T&Cs apply.. www.begambleaware.org #ad
  • Virgin Bet: New members only. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook (ex. virtuals), placed & settled at 1.5 min odds in 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days, use on sportsbook only (ex. virtuals), stakes not returned. T&Cs and deposit exclusions apply. Bet Responsibly. GambleAware.org . 18+.
  • Betfred: 18+. New customers only. Register, deposit with Debit Card, and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility exclusions & T&Cs Apply. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org