Anthony Joshua’s upcoming fight with Jake Paul has got the sporting public talking. Will it be a walkover or could Paul hold his own? Check out our Joshua vs Paul tips, alongside some enticing boxing offers to earn you some juicy free bets leading into the Christmas period.
Anthony Joshua vs Jake Paul free bets & offers
Big boxing bouts invariably see leading UK betting sites coming out with some brilliant betting offers, and Joshua vs Paul is no different. Some of the leading betting sites are offering enhanced odds for new customers, which we definitely recommend.
Betfred is providing one such offer, with enhanced odds of 40/1 for an Anthony Joshua win, alongside the handy insurance of £20 in free bets if Joshua were to lose.
talkSPORT BET also have a great sign-up offer for boxing fans, with enhanced odds for an early Joshua KO. Stake £1 on the former world champion to win in round 1, and you’ll be paid out at 50/1 if your bet wins.
There’s plenty more first-class offers on the table ahead of the big fight, so check out our pick of the best Joshua vs Paul offers right here, including a completely free £10 free bet from Dabble if you use our unique promo code.
| Betting Sites UK | Anthony Joshua vs Jake Paul free bets & offers |
| talkSPORT BET | 50/1 on Anthony Joshua to Win in Round 1 |
| BetVictor | 25/1 on Anthony Joshua to Win by KO |
| Betfred | 40/1 on Anthony Joshua to win, get £20 in free bets if he loses |
| Betano | Bet £10, Get £40 in Free Bets |
| Tote | Bet £10, Get £40 in bonuses |
| Dabble | No deposit £10 free bet – code mbs10 |
Joshua vs Paul betting offers & free bets – Key T&Cs
- talkSPORT BET: 18+ New customers only. Opt in, deposit & bet max £1 on Anthony Joshua to win in Round 1 – Round Betting – Match vs Jake Paul. Get enhanced odds paid in Free Bets, which expire in 30 days. Offer valid until 04:00 UK time on 20/12/2025. T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org.
- BetVictor: 18+ New customers only. Opt in, deposit min £5 and bet max £1 on Anthony Joshua to win the Fight by KO, TKO or Disqualification vs Jake Paul. No cash out. Enhanced odds paid in Free Bets; to be used on any Sports market. Free Bets expire in 7 days. Offer valid until 03:30 UK time on 20.12.25. Full T&Cs Apply. gambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly
- Betfred: New customers only. Reg with AJ40 by 03:00 20/12/25. Deposit via Debit Card & bet £1 Pre-Match on Anthony Joshua to win (bout winner). 40/1 paid out at max £40 in Free Bets if Anthony Joshua wins, otherwise £20 in Free Bets. Credited within 24 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply.
- Betano: 18+ New customers. Opt in, deposit and bet £10 on any sports market (odds 1/1+) within 3 days of sign up. Get 4x£10 Free Bets for set markets. Bonuses expire in 14 days. | GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly
- Tote: New customers online only. Eligibility restrictions apply. Only valid with code B10G40 on registration. £10 min qualifying bet at 1/1 (2.0) odds or greater across sports or racing (if EW then min £10 Win + £10 Place). Receive £20 Tote Credit, £10 Free Sports Bet and 50 Free Spins on a selected game within 48 hours of qualifying bet settlement. 7-day expiry on free bets & Tote Credit. Your first bet will be your qualifying bet. One per customer. UK & ROI customers only. 18+. Full T&Cs apply. Gambleaware.org.
- Dabble: New customers only. Free bets credited following registration. Must be wagered 1x at min odds of 1/2 (1.5). 7-day expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional terms apply. 18+. GambleAware.org
Anthony Joshua vs Jake Paul betting odds
Anthony Joshua is unsurprisingly the huge favourite to come out on top in his upcoming bout with Jake Paul. You can see exactly how the fight is predicted to pan out below, based on the latest Joshua vs Paul betting odds.
Joshua vs Paul odds to win fight
Anthony Joshua is given an 89% chance of making his size, strength and experience tell. Remember you can get odds of 40/1 for a Joshua victory if you sign up with Betfred.
| Boxer | Latest Odds | Implied Probability |
| Anthony Joshua | 1/7 | 87.5% |
| Jake Paul | 17/2 | 10.5% |
| Draw | 35/1 | 2.8% |
Joshua vs Paul method of victory odds
The odds imply that an Anthony Joshua win by knockout is the most likely outcome. They also suggest there’s only a 14% probability that Jake Paul survives the scheduled eight rounds. Don’t forget you can bag yourself massively boosted odds of 25/1 on a Joshua KO victory if you sign up with BetVictor.
| Boxer | Latest Odds | Implied Probability |
| Joshua by KO, TKO or DQ | 2/7 | 78% |
| Joshua by Decision | 6/1 | 14% |
| Paul by KO, TKO or DQ | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Paul by Decision | 18/1 | 5.3% |
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Joshua vs Paul winning round odds
Latest betting odds suggest there’s a 40% chance that Anthony Joshua completes a routine victory inside the first two rounds. Whilst rounds 5 or 6 are seen as the most likely rounds for a stunning Jake Paul upset.
| Boxer | Latest Odds | Implied Probability |
| Joshua in Round 1 or 2 | 6/4 | 40% |
| Joshua in Round 3 or 4 | 10/3 | 23% |
| Joshua in Round 5 or 6 | 6/1 | 14% |
| Joshua in Round 7 or 8 | 18/1 | 5.3% |
| Paul in Round 5 or 6 | 40/1 | 2.4% |
| Paul in Round 3 or 4 | 40/1 | 2.4% |
| Paul in Round 7 or 8 | 50/1 | 2% |
| Paul in Round 1 or 2 | 66/1 | 1.5% |
- Dedicated price boosts page full of daily enhanced odds
- Plenty of insightful betting videos accessible from the site
Anthony Joshua vs Jake Paul betting tips & predictions
Our betting expert has two tips for the heavyweight headliner between Jake Paul and Anthony, as well as two more for some of the fights taking place on the undercard.
The bout sees the two-time heavyweight champion Joshua face Paul, a disruptive force in boxing since his crossover from YouTube. This unlikely matchup takes place at the Kaseya Centre in Miami under the glare of millions around the world on Netflix.
Keep reading to get our experts’ thoughts on how Paul vs Joshua will play out in the early hours of Saturday morning.
- Anthony Joshua to win in round 1 or 2 @ 6/4
- Bet Builder – Anthony Joshua to win via KO, TKO or DQ – Under 1.5 rounds – Anthony Joshua to score one or more knockdowns @ 11/4
- Alycia Baumgardner to win by KO, TKO or DQ @ 9/4
- Tyron Woodley to win @ 2/1
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Blink and you’ll miss it
What is there to really say about this fight that hasn’t already been said? Pundits, fighters and fans have weighed in, the majority bemoaning that this fight is happening. However, the potential circus of Paul vs Joshua does present some interesting angles from a betting perspective.
To put it bluntly, Joshua should annihilate Paul. The Brit is simply a level above. Paul can be considered a legitimate fighter, but not one who’s proven anything at a high level. He’s definitely improved since his early days in the ring, but failing to finish a geriatric Mike Tyson and a flat performance against a faded Julio Cesar Chavez Jr suggest he’s reached a plateau.
Paul hitting that boxing ceiling is to be expected, given he entered the sport late and isn’t a standout athlete. However, the American has shown enough basic technique to suggest he could avoid Joshua’s power early on.
This clash is likely to play out similarly to the Joshua vs Ngannou fight. AJ used the first round against the MMA champion as a feeling-out process, then devastatingly took him apart in round 2.
That’s why we like the look of Joshua to win in Round 1-2 in the Round Group Betting markets, especially as you can get it at above Evens at a few big betting sites. It’s a real possibility that AJ takes Paul out in seconds, but this bet gives you some insurance in case the two-time heavyweight champion opts to take his time.
MyBettingSites tip 1: Anthony Joshua to win in round 1 or 2 @ 6/4
The final bell may not be needed again
It’s fair to say this billing was not on anyone’s list of fights for 2025 at the start of this year.
Anthony Joshua returns to the ring against Jake Paul, fifteen months after his dismantling by Daniel Dubois at Wembley Stadium. Since that devastating loss, Joshua has taken time to recover and undergone elbow surgery.
At 36 years old, there isn’t much time left for AJ to recapture former glories. A 2026 bout against Tyson Fury remains high on Saudi Arabia’s boxing supremo Turki Al-Sheikh’s wishlist, with an agreement reportedly in place on both sides.
The pot of gold both Joshua and Paul are receiving from Netflix for this fight reportedly runs into the tens of millions, turning pure fantasy into reality.
An Olympic gold medalist and two-time unified champion, Joshua has an enviable body of work in this era, and he puts his reputation on the line here. For Jake Paul, in pure career terms, he has nothing to lose.
Many will regard one round in the ring with Joshua as a win for the content creator. Surviving more than six minutes would feel like an undisputed title. Paul has fought at heavyweight before, in a crude dance around with a 58-year-old Mike Tyson in 2024, also broadcast on Netflix.
The 28-year-old was last seen winning a wide points decision over 39-year-old Julio Cesar Chavez Jr at Cruiserweight in June. Other notable wins have come against former UFC fighters Nate Diaz, Anderson Silva and Tyron Woodley.
Paul’s only loss came via split decision to another Brit, Tommy Fury, a fringe British title-level Light Cruiserweight in 2023.
Joshua has two knockout losses on his resume to Andy Ruiz and the aforementioned Dubois, while the other two career defeats came over 24 rounds with Oleksandr Usyk. Team Paul’s doubts about Joshua’s mentality and chin will almost certainly prove unfounded.
Unlike many of Paul’s former foes who had long since checked out of serious competition, Joshua still has skin in the game. He could nd this bout destructively, especially under the guidance of Usyk’s training team.
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Baumgardner’s moment to shine
Alycia Baumgardner (16-1-0) defends her unified titles in the co-main event against Leila Beaudoin (13-1-0) over twelve three minute rounds.
Formerly an undisputed champion, Baumgardner ditched her WBC title after they refused to sanction this fight under “male rules”, which adds a minute onto each round, as well as moving from 10 to 12 total rounds.
As well as the fight for equality, the move to 3 minute rounds will allow the 31-year-old more time to work and ultimately set up more finishes.
The American has an impressive seven stoppages from sixteen wins within the 120-second round time constraint and is best known for her fourth round finish of Terri Harper in 2021 to win her first world titles.
Baumgardner won undisputed two fights later against Mikaela Mayer and made four successful defences of her full rack of titles.
Beaudoin represents the latest test and arrives in good form after the first stoppage win of her career last time out, TKO’ing Elhem Mekhaled in the sixth round in June.
The 29-year-old Canadian has only made the step up to ten rounders in her last two fights and faces a big leap here in competition, ruleset and spotlight.
This feels like Baumgardner’s moment as chief support live around the world on Netflix and she has the experience, power and gas tank to be able to pull off a showcase moment here.
Woodley to win the battle of Paul’s former dance partners
Two former Jake Paul opponents go head-to-head on the main card as Anderson Silva faces Tyron Woodley.
Both made their careers in MMA before facing the American in the squared circle.
Silva went eight rounds with Paul, losing on the scorecards but was knocked down in the final round.
Woodley fought him twice, losing a decision in the first contest before being knocked out in the sixth round of the rematch.
In his prime Silva held the record for the longest ever UFC title reign when holding Middleweight gold for 2,457 days, while he also holds the record for the longest ever win streak with 16.
Woodley was no slouch either, a former Welterweight champion who made four title defences between 2016 and 2018.
His 2018 submission win over Darren Till remains the 43-year-old’s last competitive win, suffering six straight defeats across both codes since and has not competed since losing to Paul four years ago.
Silva is now 50-years-old and was last seen boxing former UFC rival Chael Sonnen in Brazil in an exhibition in June.
In their prime, Silva was the supreme fighter in terms of raw talent, speed and movement, however those days are behind him.
Woodley looks fit, strong and powerful and at seven years Silva’s junior is worth chancing here as the underdog.
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