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Betting Sites » News » Paul vs Joshua betting offers, tips & odds: Back Joshua to win at 40/1

Paul vs Joshua betting offers, tips & odds: Back Joshua to win at 40/1

Alamy Image ID: 2NGRY9X, Contributor: Jeff Gilbert

Anthony Joshua’s upcoming fight with Jake Paul has got the sporting public talking. Will it be a walkover or could Paul hold his own? Check out our Joshua vs Paul tips, alongside some enticing boxing offers to earn you some juicy free bets leading into the Christmas period.

Anthony Joshua vs Jake Paul free bets & offers

Big boxing bouts invariably see leading UK betting sites coming out with some brilliant betting offers, and Joshua vs Paul is no different. Some of the leading betting sites are providing some enhanced odds for new customers which we definitely recommend for you to use.

Leading the way are Betfred, who have provided us with an exciting offer which sees you receive enhanced odds of 40/1, and the best thing about this offer is the fact that you will get £20 in free bets if you back Joshua to win and he loses.

talkSPORT BET also have another great sign up offer. They have enhanced the odds for an early Joshua KO. Simply stake £1 on the former world champion to win in round 1, and you’ll be paid out at 50/1 if your bet wins.

There’s plenty more first class offers on the table ahead of the big fight, so check out our pick of the best Joshua vs Paul offers right here, including a completely free £10 free bet from Dabble if you use our unique promo code.

Betting Sites UKAnthony Joshua vs Jake Paul free bets & offers
talkSPORT BET50/1 on Anthony Joshua to Win in Round 1
Betfred40/1 on Anthony Joshua to win, get £20 in free bets if he loses
BetanoBet £10, Get £40 in Free Bets
ToteBet £10, Get £40 in bonuses
BetMGMBet £10 get £40 in free bets
DabbleNo deposit £10 free bet – code mbs10
Joshua vs Paul free bets & betting offers

Joshua vs Paul betting offers & free bets – Key T&Cs

  • talkSPORT BET: 18+ New customers only. Opt in, deposit & bet max £1 on Anthony Joshua to win in Round 1 – Round Betting – Match vs Jake Paul. Get enhanced odds paid in Free Bets, which expire in 30 days. Offer valid until 04:00 UK time on 20/12/2025. T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org.
  • Betfred: New customers only. Reg with AJ40 by 03:00 20/12/25. Deposit via Debit Card & bet £1 Pre-Match on Anthony Joshua to win (bout winner). 40/1 paid out at max £40 in Free Bets if Anthony Joshua wins, otherwise £20 in Free Bets. Credited within 24 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. Full T&Cs apply.
  • Betano: 18+ New customers. Opt in, deposit and bet £10 on any sports market (odds 1/1+) within 3 days of sign up. Get 4x£10 Free Bets for set markets. Bonuses expire in 14 days. | GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly
  • Tote: New customers online only. Eligibility restrictions apply. Only valid with code B10G40 on registration. £10 min qualifying bet at 1/1 (2.0) odds or greater across sports or racing (if EW then min £10 Win + £10 Place). Receive £20 Tote Credit, £10 Free Sports Bet and 50 Free Spins on a selected game within 48 hours of qualifying bet settlement. 7-day expiry on free bets & Tote Credit. Your first bet will be your qualifying bet. One per customer. UK & ROI customers only. 18+. Full T&Cs apply. Gambleaware.org.
  • BetMGM: New cust. Deposit £10+ in 7 days & bet on sports. Min odds apply. Reward = 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports bet). Valid 7 days. Free bets not valid on e-sports & non UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org
  • Midnite: 18+ New customers only. Place a £10+ bet at min odds 1/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get £30 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org
  • Dabble: New customers only. Free bets credited following registration. Must be wagered 1x at min odds of 1/2 (1.5). 7-day expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional terms apply. 18+. GambleAware.org

Anthony Joshua vs Jake Paul betting odds

Anthony Joshua is unsurprisingly the huge favourite to come out on top in his upcoming bout with Jake Paul. You can see exactly how the fight is predicted to pan out below, based on the latest Joshua vs Paul betting odds.

Joshua vs Paul odds to win fight

Anthony Joshua is given an 89% chance of making his size, strength and experience tell.

BoxerLatest OddsImplied Probability
Anthony Joshua1/889%
Jake Paul17/210.5%
Draw35/12.8%
Joshua vs Paul odds correct as of 2:45pm on 17th December 2025 and are subject to change.
Betano
Bet £10 Get £40 in Free Bets
    18+ New customers. Opt in, deposit and bet £10 on any sports market (odds 1/1+) within 3 days of sign up. Get 4x£10 Free Bets for set markets. Bonuses expire in 14 days. Full T&Cs Apply | GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly

    Joshua vs Paul method of victory odds

    An Anthony Joshua win by knockout is seen as the most likely outcome, with only a 14% probability that Jake Paul takes it all eight rounds before losing via decision.

    BoxerLatest OddsImplied Probability
    Joshua by KO, TKO or DQ2/778%
    Joshua by Decision6/114%
    Paul by KO, TKO or DQ16/16%
    Paul by Decision20/15%
    Joshua vs Paul odds correct as of 2:45pm on 17th December 2025 and are subject to change.
    Midnite
    Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
    • Daily free-to-play scratch card offers free spins & prizes
    • Easy to navigate around site and mobile betting app
    18+ New customers only. Place a £10+ bet at min odds 1/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get £30 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org

    Joshua vs Paul winning round odds

    There is a 40% chance that Anthony Joshua completes a routine victory inside the first two rounds, whilst rounds 5 or 6 are seen as the most likely rounds for a Jake Paul upset.

    BoxerLatest OddsImplied Probability
    Joshua in Round 1 or 26/440%
    Joshua in Round 3 or 410/323%
    Joshua in Round 5 or 68/111%
    Joshua in Round 7 or 817/15.6%
    Paul in Round 5 or 640/12.4%
    Paul in Round 3 or 440/12.4%
    Paul in Round 7 or 850/12%
    Paul in Round 1 or 250/12%
    Joshua vs Paul odds correct as of 2:45pm on 17th December 2025 and are subject to change.
    PricedUp
    Bet £40, Get 4x£5 Accumulator Bets
    • Dedicated price boosts page full of daily enhanced odds
    • Plenty of insightful betting videos accessible from the site
    18+. New customers only. Place a minimum £40 bet on any selection with minimum odds of Evens (2.00) and receive 4x£5 Free Bets. Free bets expire after 24 hours. GambleAware.org. T&Cs & Maximum Pay-Outs Apply. #ad

    Anthony Joshua vs Jake Paul betting tips & predictions

    Check out our thoughts on how Paul vs Joshua will play out in the early hours of Saturday morning.

    MyBettingSites tip: Anthony Joshua to win in round 1 or 2 @ 6/4

    Dabble
    No Deposit £10 Free Bet – Code: MBS10
    • Use Dabble promo code MBS10 for a No Deposit £10 in free bets
    New customers only. Free bets credited following registration. Must be wagered 1x at min odds of 1/2 (1.5). 7-day expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional terms apply. 18+. GambleAware.org

    What is there to really say about this fight that hasn’t already been said? Pundits, fighters and fans have weighed in, the majority bemoaning that this fight is happening. However, the potential circus of Paul vs Joshua does present some interesting angles from a betting perspective.

    To put it bluntly, Joshua should annihilate Paul. The Brit is simply a level above. Paul can be considered a legitimate fighter, but not one who’s proven anything at a high level. He’s definitely improved since his early days in the ring, but failing to finish a geriatric Mike Tyson and a flat performance against a faded Julio Cesar Chavez Jr suggest he’s reached a plateau.

    Paul hitting that boxing ceiling is to be expected, given he entered the sport late and isn’t a standout athlete. However, the American has shown enough basic technique to suggest he could avoid Joshua’s power early on.

    This clash is likely to play out similarly to the Joshua vs Ngannou fight. AJ used the first round against the MMA champion as a feeling-out process, then devastatingly took him apart in round 2.

    That’s why we like the look of Joshua to win in Round 1-2 in the Round Group Betting markets, especially as you can get it at above Evens at a few big betting sites. It’s a real possibility that AJ takes Paul out in seconds, but this bet gives you some insurance in case the two-time heavyweight champion opts to take his time.

    MyBettingSites tip: Anthony Joshua to win in round 1 or 2 @ 6/4

    Mr Play
    BET £10 GET £15
    • Great selection of payment methods
    • Easy to use bonus offer
    18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit: £10, max £15 bonus, valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at a min. odds of 1/1 (2.00) or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets no eligible. GambleAware.org