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Betting Sites » News » The Traitors dagger odds revealed as Rachel & Stephen face tough decision

The Traitors dagger odds revealed as Rachel & Stephen face tough decision

2YXGKK3 Claudia Winkleman at the launch of season three of BBC's The Traitors, at the Electric Cinema in London Picture date: Monday December 16, 2024.

The twists and turns keep coming in Series 4 of The Traitors, with Stephen and Rachel given a fresh decision to make. Read on to find out the latest Traitors news, plus our popular odds updates.

The Traitors UK latest news

The twists and turns keep on coming, as Episode 9 left us with another cliffhanger. Following the murder of Jessie and the murder of Ellie, Claudia revealed the latest big decision whilst holding a dagger.

Explaining how it will work, Claudia said, “Whoever possesses this dagger will have an extraordinary ability. Whoever has this gets a double vote at the next round table. The only catch is it’s up to the Traitors who has it. They can choose anyone, they can even choose themselves.”

The Traitors Series 4 betting odds

Sadly, UK betting sites have been unwilling to provide The Traitors betting odds, but we’re still more than happy to put our reputations on the line.

Having bet on numerous reality TV shows over the years, you can be sure that The Traitors betting odds we publish are a fair interpretation of the most likely outcome. You can see that we correctly predicted Fiona was the Secret Traitor earlier in the series.

The Traitors winner odds

Only three episodes of Series 4 remain, yet predicting the eventual winner remains a tough task.

Rachel continues to fend off accusations with ease, and having a say in who’ll be given double votes at the next roundtable should only increase her chances of progressing further without detection. Jessie’s murder should keep the pressure off Stephen too, so the pair of Traitors remain prominent in the latest betting to win.

In terms of the remaining Faithful, Jack and Faraaz have progressed without coming under much interrogation, and so they’re the highest ranking Faithful in our latest odds update.

NameThe Traitors Winner OddsImplied Probability
Rachel6/440%
Jack2/133%
Stephen4/120%
Faraaz6/114%
Matthew8/111%
Roxy10/19%
James10/19%
Jade12/18%
The Traitors betting odds

Who will receive the dagger from the Traitors?

The decision of who to give double votes to is likely to come down to which Faithful is least suspicious of Stephen or Rachel.

Faraaz has already voted to banish Stephen once so he can therefore be discounted from the options with some confidence.

Stephen is unlikely to want the responsibility of the dagger either, with too many coincidences already pointing in his direction.

With Jack and James continually matching each other’s votes at the roundtable, they can be discounted too, so this leaves us with a shortlist of four – Rachel, Matthew, Roxy and Jade.

Narrowing it down further is a tricky business, but both Jade and Roxy’s Traitor radars have been well off throughout, so the Traitors would most likely feel comfortable giving either the extra decision-making power.

NameOdds to receive the daggerImplied Probability
Roxy2/133%
Jade3/125%
Rachel4/120%
Jack5/117%
Matthew6/114%
James8/111%
Faraaz10/19%
Stephen12/18%
Odds to receive the dagger

Next banishment odds

If we follow through with our assumption that Roxy or Jade will have the benefit of a double vote, the odds for the next banishment suddenly become a whole lot clearer, particularly as Traitors Stephen and Rachel may also support their decision.

Roxy has voted for James on four occasions already, and so it is he who is most likely to have reached the end of the road.

Matthew may also come under pressure if Jade is given the power of the dagger.

NameNext Banishment OddsImplied Probability
James2/133%
Matthew3/125%
Jade4/120%
Roxy5/117%
Stephen6/114%
Rachel8/111%
Faraaz12/18%
Jack14/17%
Next Banishment betting odds

When can I watch The Traitors?

The fourth UK series of The Traitors began on New Years Day, at 8pm on BBC1. Future episodes will also be screened at 8pm, which is a shift from the slightly later time of 9pm that we have grown used to in previous series. We can also look forward to three episodes each week, meaning the finale is scheduled for this Friday, 23rd January 2026.

EpisodeDate
1Now available on BBC iPlayer
2Now available on BBC iPlayer
3Now available on BBC iPlayer
4Now available on BBC iPlayer
5Now available on BBC iPlayer
6Now available on BBC iPlayer
7Now available on BBC iPlayer
8Now available on BBC iPlayer
9Now available on BBC iPlayer
108pm, Wednesday 21st January
118pm, Thursday 22th January
128pm, Friday 23rd January
The Traitors UK Series 4 episode times and dates