It’s all to play for in in North London on the final day of the season as Tottenham play Everton. The Toffees will be looking to pile the misery on their opponents, who need a point to confirm survival in the Premier League.
The atmosphere in North London will be tense, and Spurs cannot afford to concede a goal early in this match otherwise it could get toxic. They also know that a result elsewhere could see them drop into the relegation zone.
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Tottenham vs Everton Betting Tips
Tottenham face Everton on Sunday, 24th May, in a critical final-day Premier League fixture with their top-flight survival on the line. Our betting expert has analysed the key stats and tactics, so read on for the analysis behind his selections.
Stalemate on the Cards in High-Stakes Finale
Despite being favourites, Tottenham’s form at home makes it difficult to back them for a win. A single point would be sufficient to keep Roberto De Zerbi’s side in the Premier League, making the draw a valuable proposition on the 1×2 market.
Spurs have managed to win just two of their 18 home matches in the Premier League this season, drawing six. Notably, both of their home fixtures under the management of De Zerbi have ended in a draw, suggesting a pattern of caution in front of their own supporters.
Everton enter this match without a victory in their last six outings, but they have proven difficult to beat. Three of those six games have ended level, and looking at their form throughout 2026, a third of the Toffees’ Premier League matches have finished as a draw.
The head-to-head record also supports this selection, with four of the last 10 encounters between Tottenham and Everton ending all square. Given the context of the match, another shared result appears plausible.
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Spurs to Prioritise Survival Over Spectacle
Tottenham must avoid defeat to guarantee their place in the Premier League next season. Should they lose to Everton and West Ham beat Leeds, Spurs would be relegated, meaning their primary focus will be on securing at least a point.
The ‘Tottenham Double Chance’ market is a solid foundation for this bet, as it covers the two results that ensure their survival. Combining this with an under goals market aligns with the likely tactical approach from both sides in such a high-pressure environment.
Everton, under David Moyes, are characteristically pragmatic in their away fixtures. Their 18 matches on the road this season have seen an average of just 2.4 goals per game, a figure that sits comfortably below the ‘Under 4 Goals’ line.
Considering the magnitude of the fixture for the hosts, a controlled and nervy affair is anticipated. Only five of Tottenham’s 18 home games have featured four or more goals, while just four of Everton’s away matches have surpassed the three-goal mark, reinforcing the statistical case for a low-scoring game.
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Goals at a Premium in Tense Relegation Decider
While Roberto De Zerbi has improved Tottenham’s attacking metrics, their absolute priority on the final day is avoiding defeat. With a single point mathematically guaranteeing safety, the hosts’ instinct will be to avoid exposing themselves defensively.
Their recent performance against Leeds was indicative of a tense squad, producing just three shots on target throughout the match. This suggests a team that will not overcommit bodies forward, favouring a cautious approach to secure the necessary result.
Everton are well-versed in managing away games. The Toffees have scored only 21 goals on the road but hold the league’s third-best away points-per-game average (1.44), highlighting their ability to stifle opponents and grind out results. Their expected goals against (xGA) of just 7.51 over the last five matches confirms a solid defensive structure that rarely concedes clear-cut chances.
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