The race to become the UK’s Christmas Number One has just one week left to run, and it now looks likely that Wham! will secure the prized position for the second year running, with their perennial favourite, Last Christmas.
It had been expected that Band Aid would be the UK’s number one at Christmas, when plans were announced for an updated version of Do They Know It’s Christmas? to mark the 40th anniversary of the original song’s release. Indeed, Band Aid was the odds on favourite back in mid-November, but they sit at an underwhelming number 14 with just seven days left.
But it’s the duo of George Michael and Andrew Ridgeley that head the latest betting odds, and currently sit top of the UK singles chart, with just one chart left to be announced on Friday 20th December.
UK Christmas Number One Odds 2024
The Christmas No 1 betting odds for 2024 shows a healthy mix of the old and new. Classics like Mariah Carey’s All I Want for Christmas is You are vying for the top slot against Tom Grennan’s new single It Can’t Be Christmas, as well as Gracie Abrams who has finally slipped down to number two after five weeks at the summit.
There’s also a more sombre tinge to year’s race, with Liam Payne prominent in the betting just two months after his tragic death.
Below, you’ll find all the leading contenders to be announced as Christmas Number One. Most of our recommended UK betting sites cover the market, so there’s plenty of options when you’re looking for the latest odds.
| Artist | Song | Odds | Probability |
| Wham! | Last Christmas | 4/9 | 69% |
| Mariah Carey | All I Want For Christmas Is You | 14/1 | 7% |
| Tom Grennan | It Can’t Be Christmas | 14/1 | 7% |
| Band Aid | Do They Know It’s Christmas | 16/1 | 6% |
| Yorkshire Pudding Boy | All I Am | 18/1 | 5% |
| Liam Payne | All I Want (For Christmas) | 25/1 | 4% |
| Ed Sheeran & Elton John | Merry Christmas | 25/1 | 4% |
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Who is top of the UK singles chart now?
With only week to go till we find out the 2024 Christmas Number One single, the latest chart has taken on a very Christmassy feel already. Here is the UK’s top 10 as of 13th December 2024.
1. Wham – Last Christmas
2. Gracie Abrams – That’s So True
3. Mariah Carey – All I Want For Christmas Is You
4. Rose and Bruno Mars – APT
5. Brenda Lee – Rockin’ Around The Christmas Tree
6. Tom Grennan – It Can’t Be Christmas
7. Bobby Helms – Jingle Bell Rock
8. Pogues ft Kirsty MacColl – Fairytale of New York
9. Ariana Grande – Santa Tell Me
10. Kelly Clarkson – Underneath The Tree
Previous Christmas No 1 songs
Since the turn of the century, the top of the charts have been dominated by the winners of reality TV show X-Factor, or songs desperately trying to derail the Simon Cowell train, including Rage Against the Machine’s Killing in the Name.
The end of X-Factor and a change to the way the charts are calculated saw a clear change at the head of the charts. Nowadays, streaming data is combined with physical sales figures, so you’re more likely to see songs from years gone by at or around the top of the UK singles chart.
| Year | Artist | Song |
| 2023 | Wham! | Last Christmas |
| 2022 | LadBaby | Food Aid |
| 2021 | LadBaby | Sausage Rolls for Everyone |
| 2020 | LadBaby | Don’t Stop Me Eatin’ |
| 2019 | LadBaby | I Love Sausage Rolls |
| 2018 | LadBaby | We Built This City |
| 2017 | Ed Sheeran | Perfect |
| 2016 | Clean Bandit | Rockabye |
| 2015 | Lewisham & Greenwich NHS Choir | A Bridge Over You |
| 2014 | Ben Haenow | Something I Need |
