Everton host Liverpool for the first-ever Merseyside derby at the Hill Dickinson Stadium this Sunday, with both sides chasing European qualification. With the stakes high for both clubs, we can reveal over £200 in free bet offers available to use on the game with the UK’s best new betting sites.
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Everton vs Liverpool Tips
Read on for our expert analysis and top betting selections.
Stalemate on the Cards in Historic Derby
The draw presents a compelling option in the 1X2 market, primarily due to the inconsistent form of both teams in their respective home and away settings. Liverpool’s struggles on the road this season are well-documented. Arne Slot’s side have secured victory in just six of their 16 Premier League away matches, a record that undermines their status as favourites.
During that run, they have conceded 1.56 goals per game while scoring only 1.44, resulting in a negative goal difference away from Anfield. This defensive vulnerability has been a recurring theme, and it places them just eighth in the Premier League away table, four spots behind their local rivals.
Everton, meanwhile, have not yet turned their new Hill-Dickinson Stadium into a fortress. David Moyes’ team has also managed just six wins from 16 home league fixtures, sharing the points on six occasions. Their goal statistics at home are remarkably tight, scoring an average of 1.31 while conceding 1.19, indicating that their matches on home soil are often closely contested affairs.
Given Liverpool’s travel issues and Everton’s failure to establish dominance at their new ground, neither side makes a strong case for taking all three points. Four of the last 13 meetings between these sides have finished level, and a similar outcome looks plausible here.
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Defensive Frailties to be Exposed
Backing both teams to find the net appears to be a logical selection, largely driven by Liverpool’s poor defensive record away from home. The Reds have conceded 25 goals in their 16 league trips this season, which is as many as they conceded in the entire 2024/25 away campaign. Furthermore, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last six matches on the road.
This defensive instability should provide opportunities for an Everton attack that has shown significant improvement. The Toffees have scored over 1.5 goals in four of their last five matches, demonstrating a newfound clinical edge. Forward Beto has been in good form, with five goal involvements in his last five appearances, while Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall leads the team’s goal contribution charts with seven goals and three assists.
While Liverpool’s defence has been suspect, they possess enough attacking quality to trouble Everton. The Both Teams to Score market has been a winning bet in 63% of Liverpool’s Premier League away games this term. This trend has also been reflected in the recent head-to-head record, with both teams scoring in two of the last three encounters, including Liverpool’s 2-1 victory at Anfield earlier in the season.
With Everton’s attack clicking and Liverpool’s defence leaking goals on their travels, both sides are expected to get on the scoresheet.
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A Tense and Low-Scoring Affair Expected
Combining the draw with under four total goals offers a higher-value angle for this fixture. The context surrounding this derby suggests a tense, tactical battle rather than an open, expansive game. Liverpool’s midweek Champions League tie against Paris Saint-Germain is a demanding preparation for a fixture that was already looking complicated.
The significance of the first Merseyside derby at the Hill Dickinson Stadium adds another layer of pressure. Everton supporters will be creating an intense atmosphere, but the occasion could also lead to a cagey affair where neither side is willing to commit too many players forward early on. A loss would be damaging to the European aspirations of both teams, reinforcing the potential for a cautious approach.
Recent history strongly supports the likelihood of a low-scoring match. Eight of the last ten meetings between Everton and Liverpool have seen the ‘Under 3.5 Goals’ selection land. This pattern suggests that, irrespective of current form, these derby matches tend to be tight contests. By pairing the draw with a low goal total, we can construct a bet that aligns with both the immediate circumstances and the long-term trends of this rivalry.
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